This is a raw, unedited walkthrough of some big thoughts I've been breaking down regarding the future of transportation. For decades, getting your driver's license wasn't a choice—it was a mandatory system built around the assumption that most adults drive. Especially in small towns, it's the default. But what happens when that system weakens? We aren't talking about a world where cars completely disappear, but a world where driving reverses from a basic life requirement into an optional, specialized trade (just like standard transmissions or riding horses). Let me know your thoughts in the comments! This is part of a longer series I'm building out, so make sure to stick around for the next pieces. Time Links: 00:00 - Intro & The system built around driving 00:30 - Driving as a default vs. lifestyle choice 01:59 - The driver's license as an emotional milestone 03:19 - The financial trap of the mandatory car 04:23 - Big city transit vs. default small town driving 06:38 - Why autonomous vehicles are actually for small towns 07:42 - Moving from a two-car household to one 09:30 - The ripple effects on industries & city planning 10:16 - The total rewiring of auto insurance 12:04 - Culture shift: When a license becomes an optional skill 13:36 - The specialized future of driving instruction 19:05 - The manual transmission / stick-shift analogy 20:56 - The horse comparison: From default to status symbol 21:57 - City design, empty vehicle congestion, and trade-offs 24:06 - Conclusion: A world where cars are no longer mandatory #AutonomousVehicles #CarLightLiving #RawThoughts #FutureOfTransportation #SmallTownLife #TechPhilosophy
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[RAW] The Death of the Mandatory Car (Unedited Thoughts)
00:30 — Driving Was Never Really Optional
And I think we anticipate, because for most of our lives, especially where I live, driving never felt like a lifestyle choice.
It was just how you get around.
You got to get your license because you need one.
You got a car because work, groceries, family appointments, just being able to get from A to B. You can't just do it normally.
Infrastructure doesn't allow for it. And once you have the car, everything else came with it. Insurance, gas, repairs, parking, tires, it's just a constant and debt and also like loans and payments.
Your car is not just a vehicle, it's the center of a whole system built around the idea that most adults drive.
So if driving becomes optional, change is bigger than just cars alone. It affects the whole structure that's built around it, the whole industries that rely on it.
That is the real shift I want to think through on this one.
Not a world where cars disappear, but a world where more people no longer drive or have to get a car or organize their lives around car finances and where they live and things like that.
01:59 — The Licence as Freedom
And for a long time getting your driver's license was almost automatic, at least where I grow up.
And where I live now is just part of becoming independent because a license means freedom for a lot of people.
You can leave when you want, you can get to work, friends, like I said, errands, and you stop depending on others to help you get around or relying on transportation that may not always be available or on time.
02:32 — The First Car
And for a lot of people and pretty much anyone who ever had a car, the first car was a very big deal.
Mine was a Jeep.
I still have a Jeep.
So it was a big deal for me.
Big impression. Even if it was not a nice car, because my Jeep was not new either, maybe and again maybe especially if it's not a nice car because you build memories with that car, you work on it, you have to take care of it, you know the ins and outs of it because it's yours.
It represents movement, independence, control, your own private space, your own private transportation.
That is why cars are emotional. They are tied to identity. They aren't tied to status and memory and adulthood.
03:19 — The Expensive Side of Cars
But there's also the other side of cars.
Cars are very expensive.
They break, they depreciate maintenance, the insurance side of it, just basic parking fuel and again loan payments.
They become debt, a trap that people get caught in and they cause a lot of stress.
They can sit on use for most of the day. Like my Jeep doesn't drive that much, my wife's doesn't drive that much, but it's still sitting there and it's costing me money.
So there are really two versions of a car.
There's the emotional side of the vehicle, the road trips, the first drive all by yourself, learning, the whole memory behind the vehicle and what it brings to you.
That version of the car is very real and it stays with a lot of people.
And then there's the mandatory car part of it.
The one you own because there's no other practical way to get around.
You have to have it to operate your life.
And that is the part I think is starting to weaken a little bit. Becoming is so much required.
04:23 — Big Cities Already Show This
We already see a version of this in big cities and we've seen it forever.
A lot of people in bigger cities that they don't get their license.
They wait to get it later in life or they may never get it.
They may never buy a car.
They may use some like zip car or something where they can like ride share.
They sign up for that.
So instead of owning you you you're a part of a co-op basically and it's not a strange thing because the cities give them options to biking, walking, subways, train, awesome transit, Ubers and everything.
A lot of things are close enough just to walk to get to places but that is not how most small cities and towns are built which is basically where I'm located in these smaller places like where I am.
05:19 — Smaller Places Make Cars Feel Required
Not having a car most times means you're stuck.
The bus, if there is a bus, it may not be close by and it doesn't run that often.
There's pretty much guaranteed there's no subway option.
And taxis may be too expensive, too few, just not a viable solution 'cause it costs too much to get a short distance because even the grocery store is not a two minute walk or at the bottom of your building, it's like, it's gonna be a 15 minute walk.
So getting ice cream, it's gonna be melted by the time you get home.
And 'cause everything's more spread out and then you take winter and the fact and that takes a lot of a big difference for it.
Like walking and biking is not really a good option then.
It's not safe, it's cold, And maybe you don't have sidewalks and stuff aren't plowed properly
Because it's not a priority in the smaller towns
Like kids activities doctors like there's a lot of things were so current becomes something that you have to do in a big city
Not driving can be a normal in a small city driving is default
And not because everyone loves it because
Like I said, it's it's it's there's no other realistic choice and that is where Autonomous transportation gets very interesting to me and not because it gives New Yorkers another way to get around
It doesn't give San Francisco another big demo that they can show off
But because it could eventually give smaller cities and towns a transportation layer that doesn't exist today
06:57 — Autonomous Transportation in Small Cities
Small city may never it's not going to get a subway. It's a phrase that's never build might never it's not
It might never have buses every five minutes because buses lose money and cities need the money for other things potholes
And
You might never support huge taxi networks because there's just not enough people that need to get around
But if autonomous vehicles can operate continuously reliably and cheap enough, which they will
Then maybe car light living becomes possible in these small towns
And that's where it becomes more than a big city lifestyle. It becomes a real alternative for places where the car has always been default and
07:42 — The First Shift: Two Cars to One
This does not mean everyone gets rid of a car. That's too extreme in my mind
I really believe that we're not gonna see that happen anytime soon
The first version is probably gonna be very simple like two car households become one car households
Teenagers delay getting their license, older people, they instead of going on the road now they and being isolated or taking chances of Probably past the time they should get rid of their license now
They can use automated Autonomous driving to get them around places and interact with their people
Socialize and go to the doctor appointments and stuff low-income families that normally like they have to get to work and like they're relying on transportation that's not always reliable.
Now they can use autonomous vehicles as a cheaper solution instead of trying to use a large portion of the salary for having a vehicle.
Now they can use autonomous vehicles to get around at a much lower cheaper price and remove all that extra expense.
And like people working at home like
Now you can work at home whenever you want really most companies allow it in most situations
It's it's easier and it's not frowned upon
And
So all these things they're small
They're small changes, but they really matter because cars are expensive
Even when they are sitting still if a household can go from two vehicles to one that changes their budget quite a bit
One less vehicles means less insurance
registration tires maintenance
less payments, like you're saving a lot of money.
09:30 — The Industries Built Around Cars
And if enough households make that kind of change, it starts to affect industries.
That touches car dealerships, insurance, mechanics, gas stations, like everything, financing.
City planning is parking and streets and crossroads.
That is why the car is such a big example in my mind of how it's not just AI, but it's just autonomous electricity, the way robots, the way we're moving, it's changing a lot of things.
And this is just the bigger example I think affects more people.
It is a whole economy built around the assumption that most adults need and want and get a car.
And if that assumption weakens even slightly, the effects break.
10:16 — Insurance Changes Shape
And again, insurance is probably one of the clearest examples of this.
Today, personal auto insurance is built around human drivers.
Age, history, accidents, tickets, where you live, what kind of car you have.
The whole model assumes that individuals own cars and personally drive them.
But if transportation shifts towards autonomous fleets, the risk changes.
It doesn't disappear, it moves.
Instead of asking, does this driver make mistakes?
The question becomes quite different.
Did the software fail?
Did the sensor fail?
Did the fleet operators maintain the vehicle properly?
Has the manufacturer released bad bugs, bad update, mapping system glitches, city infrastructure, part of the problem?
Did a remote supervisor step in?
Is there a remote supervisor?
Did a human override take place?
And that's a different insurance world at the same time.
Personal auto insurance may shrink.
Commercial fleet insurance goes up, but then who's liable?
Is it the system?
Is it the manufacturer?
Is it the fleet manager?
Is it software?
Or is it manufacturer?
Or is it person?
It becomes a whole different ballgame.
Like, and honestly, when you go deep into it, like it's legal, it's business, it's city planning, there's a lot going on because the people are not personally driving.
Responsibility has to go somewhere.
Someone still owns the vehicle, someone still maintains it, someone built it, someone updates the software, and someone's making money off all those rides.
So insurance doesn't go away, it reorganizes around different situations, different people become responsible.
12:04 — When the Licence Becomes Optional
And then there's the license question.
This one feels small when you think about it at first, but I think it might be one of the biggest culture changes.
What happens people get licenses.
For a long time license always was just basic part of life.
Even if you did not care about cars life was easier if you could drive.
But if a young person grows up in a world where transportation is always available maybe they're going to see changes.
Maybe they delay the license, skip the first car, avoid the insurance, avoid all the payments, the debt trap and they see ownership is like I said too expensive of a burden like let's skip that maybe they think why would I own this if I could just click a button and get an uber or like you know with the rule of taxi it like there's not even a driver or the Wacom I think it is the Google one again this is not for everyone and but enough people could think this way for it to matter and this already happens in some big cities like we said but if it spreads into small cities and towns that becomes very different in a very larger situation because then the license is no longer a universal milestone it becomes something some people need some people want and I'll probably a lot of people are going to skip it and that changes the meaning of driving it moves from assumed adulthood to optional skill and once a skill becomes optional fewer people learn it
13:36 — Who Still Knows How to Drive?
And that creates another question this this video I've tried a few times
But it's so long and I broke it up into three and this one's still long because if less people are getting their license
Then it becomes like well who knows how to drive who still knows how to drive like it's like who's a pilot who knows how to drive a fly helicopter for a fly a plane
Sail the sailboat like now we know that well who knows how to drive drive.
Because even in the future of autonomous vehicles, I still think there will be situations where someone needs to know how to drive.
Maybe not most people, maybe not every adult, but someone has to drive.
Like we still have first responders, utility workers, construction crews, military, disaster response, tow trucks, things like that.
Like take a first responder,
Yeah, we they may okay. Let me read this because this goes into what I'm saying because
People who deal with edge cases basically those people that we need when when things go wrong
So but then and also like not when just things go wrong, but like bad weather block roads power outages
The software fails the sensors fail construction zones accidents situations or systems does not know how to possibly deal with it.
As much software and things we throw at it, there's still gonna be places where a human's gonna be able to analyze it just quicker,
maybe not quicker, but react more appropriately based off experience.
Well, maybe there's no more experience 'cause there's less people that drive,
so there's less people with experience.
But maybe one day, like the first responder, take like the fire truck or the police or ambulance,
it is autonomous, but there is a driver that can take over if they need to.
They can change the path, they can, if the sensor goes, they can take over,
like if there's an accident, they can get around it.
So I don't think that we would ever see completely autonomous first responder vehicles.
I still think there would be a person or something there that can take control and has responsibility for what happens.
So maybe emergency vehicles, this went way off, maybe an Amazon can road itself better than a human.
I don't know.
And it says, "I think it could. "I think of the Kramer and Seinfeld.
"He knew how to get there faster than the fire trucks. "That'll cause a little trouble."
I like this one, maybe emergency vehicles communicate with traffic lights and clear up,
doing that I believe and all that's happened already and and but even then do I do I think we still need someone who could take over we still need someone who understands the machine the road and the weird situation that was not in the training data and that's true so driving may not disappear as a skill it may become specialized.
Less like a basic life skill, more like a trade.
Like again like flying and helicopters and boats.
So most people may not need it but the people who do need it may need to be very good at it and that's a strange reversal.
In a world where fewer people drive the people who still know how to drive might become more important not less important because they become the fallback layer.
17:18 — Driving as a Specialized Skill
So it becomes a specialized skill.
I have a whole another one I'm gonna do on this too because you know like you talk about like it's always felt like it's luxury to have the autonomous car or a robot drive you type thing but there's still gonna be that high level premium I believe where people are gonna be willing to pay for a person to be there.
And that's another video.
So back to this.
And then you have to ask, I don't want to take this part out, but it also brings up like, so specialized skill for driving and less people have it.
So the people that learn it, there's very few of them.
Who's going to train those people?
If fewer people learn to drive, what happens to driving schools and things like that.
Are you going to have an optimist driving instructor train you how to drive?
And you can scan that system, I'm sure.
So driving instruction may become less about teaching every teenager the basic skills and more about specialized training, emergency override, fleet supervision, bad weather driving, heavy vehicles, towing, and just more of a specialized skill on top of the basics.
So you don't just go get your license like we do today, you go get your license if you plan to use it in a special career path that requires it.
Or maybe just getting your basic license becomes, like I said, like a luxury.
So it's a very expensive luxury.
And there was a whole section on the horse, and maybe it's still in here, but like comparing to the horse, like it's coming up.
But when you go back to that, like, with the special training, and it's a luxury to go get your license, it becomes less like a rite of passage and more like a professional certificate.
19:27 — The Standard Transmission Analogy
And I compare it to standards, like a manual transmission.
I still drive a standard.
My Jeep is a stick shift.
And that used to be the normal.
Everyone knew how to drive a stick.
I don't even know how many of my friends know how to do it, even at my age.
I bet there's people that don't even know it's a thing.
So I'm very rare in that case.
It's only recently I've come to the conclusion that if I get a new one, I'm probably not going to get a manual.
I'm probably going to have to get an automatic.
So I've been holding off.
And it's not because they became impossible, not because standard transmissions became impossible.
People just stop needing to learn.
Automatic became normal, fewer people learn standard, fewer vehicles are built with it, and the skill moved from normal to niche niche niche.
Yeah, specialized.
Maybe driving yourself eventually feels like that.
Not gone, just less common.
A skill, a skill some people have, most people most people do not need yeah and that is where like it threw the horses in because I told it to get rid of it but I said it was pretty good so AI left it in
20:56 — The Horse Comparison
And that's where the horse comparison comes in horses do not that didn't disappear obviously we didn't they're not extinct they just stopped being the default way people move through the world they became recreation sport, work in some contexts and nostalgia.
And to me also like a status symbol.
Maybe cars eventually go through something similar.
Some people will still own them because they need them.
Some will own them because they love them.
But the assumption that every adult needs a license, every household needs one or two cars and every store needs a large parking lot.
Another video about that coming maybe it's down here I don't know I'm all over the place
Cars do not have to disappear for the whole world around them cars do not have to disappear for the world around them to change they just have to be less of them and less people driving them
21:57 — City Design and Parking
Then there's the city design side of it which again this video covered everything I tried to take a lot of it out so there are other videos about each piece but like cars take up a lot of space not just on the roads parking lots driveways garages street parking office parking parking is a big one and takes up a lot of land just to have all these cars sitting around moving around just being there a few people own cars and more trips are handled by shared even taxis but I go autonomous fleets because the price is just going to be insanely cheap so it's going to be a no-brainer in my mind and I'll again I broke this up in the multiple videos so somebody could become housing like all those parking spots and all that extra space just to have all these cars sitting around doing nothing like a lot of space could not become housing space for houses parks bigger sidewalks to allow people to move and walk around and use bikes but I do not want to make this sound too clean.
Autonomous vehicles could also create more empty vehicles driving around, more congestion in some places, more surveillance for sure, more platform control and more dependence on private companies.
So it's a big trade-off there like I don't go down that whole too hard here on this one, but maybe I'll do a video on that.
And that is, that is the thing about utilities.
They are convenient, but they also create dependence.
Ownership gives you burden, but gives you the control.
Utility gives you convenience, but also dependence.
I did that one twice.
Sometimes I was going to do another video too, about where I'm at after about three months, so I may do that and how AI is helping.
But not helping all the time.
But anyway, back to this.
24:06 — A World Where Cars Are No Longer Mandatory
So maybe that is the future of transportation,
not a clean break, not a world where cars vanish,
a messier world where fewer people need to organize their entire life around owning one.
Some people still drive, we still need trucks.
Most people will probably still love cars.
Some people will depend on personal vehicles for a very long time.
But for others, the car may become less of a requirement and more of a choice.
And that is part that changes everything.
Because if a wheelie can separate from ownership, then the car becomes something different.
It's still useful, still loved, still necessary in some places, but no longer automatically required.
Not a world without cars, a world where cars are no longer mandatory.
And that's a big change.
That changes a lot of industries,
it changes a lot of the way people look at vehicles,
cars, their finances, their budgets, becomes choice.
And this whole thing started as transportation,
as utility and everything that goes along with it.
And, but it goes bigger.
And that's why there's more videos coming.
I hope you like this one.
Thanks, bye.